The second term of the President of France, Emanuel Macron, begins without a grace period, as the fermentations in all the party staffs are now feverish in view of the parliamentary elections on June 12 and 19, respectively.
Three questions
For the re-elected President of the French Republic, the demands that arose, as soon as the spotlight went out last Sunday, are three:
1. A clear victory in the parliamentary elections, ie securing a parliamentary majority for his party , “Forward!”
2.Matching President Macron – especially during the new election period – with his electoral base, as it was formed in the second round of the Presidential elections
3. Obstruction of any convocations or electoral alliances by his opponents in view of the parliamentary elections, which could block his acquisition of the majority in the French National Assembly.
In search of a Prime Minister
One of the main “papers” that the resident of Elysee has in order to prevent any agreements between his political opponents is the formation of the new government and especially the election of the new Prime Minister (appointed by him), in order to send political messages at his polling station, but also to the “abstention party” (which received 28% last Sunday), while preventing regular moves by its opponents on the political chessboard.
For the composition of the new government, Emanuel Macron will have to walk on a tightrope, as on the one hand it will have to signal a brave opening to the left and the ecology, without at the same time discouraging any Marin Le voters. Penn who would welcome his party, “Forward!” In the June parliamentary elections.
However, incumbent Prime Minister Jean-Castex has resigned as French president since last week to facilitate his political maneuvers, although so far the current week is considered “transitional” by Emanuel Macron, in order to save some time, with the aim of carefully studying his next political moves.
At the same time, the political figures who carry strong symbolism and therefore appear among the candidates for the post of Prime Minister include, among others, the Minister of Employment, Elizabeth Bourne, the Minister of Finance, Bruno Lemer, the Mayor of Le Havre, Edouard. but also the head of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. In addition, Jacques-Luc Melanson called on the French – their voters – to nominate him as Prime Minister, although the position is being filled by a person on the proposal of the President of the French Republic, trying to make the leader of the French Left even more intense -if not pressing- his presence towards Elysee.
However, in an OpinionWay poll on behalf of CNEWS and Europe 1 and a sample of 1,316 French people who were asked to choose the person they prefer from a list of possible prime ministers, the first place was taken by Edouard Philippe (who was Prime Minister) with 18% in the first term of the presidency), followed by the Director of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, with 9%, followed by the current Minister of Finance, Bruno Lemerre, with 7% and the current Prime Minister, Jean Castex, respectively .
In a majority trajectory
At the same time, the formation of a majority conditions for the party of Emmanuel Macron, “Forward!” Seems possible. in the run-up to the June parliamentary elections, provided he seeks programmatic agreements with the center-right parties. Specifically, in a Harris Interactive poll, it says “Forward!” to win 326 to 366 seats, ie an absolute majority in the 577-seat National Assembly, with 117 to 147 seats for the far-right and left-wing parties, which reach between 73 and 93 seats.
Maintaining a parliamentary majority during his previous presidency is one of President Macron's personal records, close to his successive election, but in avoiding “cohabitation”, ie his party's cooperation with someone else, with aimed at forming a majority in the National Assembly.
However, any decisions of Emanuel Macron for the new government, but also his electoral strategy towards the double ballots in June, are placed at the beginning of May, when there will be a clearer picture of what his political opponents intend to do. On the far right, an electoral collaboration between Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemour is not ruled out, although the latter sharply commented that Le Pen has been losing elections for the last fifty years, widening the gap that separates him from the latter in the presidential vote. French elections.
In the wing of the Left, the threads are moving – more strongly than the far-right forces – Jacques-Luc Melanson, in an attempt to coordinate his “Disobedient France” with the Ecologists and the communist parties, in order to form an audience. electoral front, at the same time calling on their voters to be vigilant in view of the twin ballot box in June.
The Macron Plan
Although the French President will work out all possible correlations, any decisions he is expected to make will be borne by his first statements after the victorious result last Sunday, since many French people “did not vote for me because they support my ideas, but to block them.” # 8217; those of the far right “said Emanuel Macron and added that” I want to thank them and tell them that I have a conscience “of the obligation to reflect their will in the policies of the Presidency. According to the French President, his next plans include his “response” to those who voted for Marine Le Pen, as an expression of anger and protest.
In this light, the re-elected French President is called upon to prove that he has received the messages sent to the second ballot box of the Presidential elections, but also to expand his electoral audience immediately and to such an extent as to secure a majority in the National Assembly. Otherwise, some analysts point out that without a majority in the body, France will experience the next five years of political “paralysis”, ie difficulty in promoting reforms, combined with sharp social reactions.
At the same time, Emanuel Macron is called upon to appear united in practice, as the class division of France (into urban big cities and deserted villages) is more apparent than ever, narrowing the limits of the French President's appeal. It is no coincidence that he hastened to clarify that “I will be the President of all France”, as exceeding the psychological threshold of 40% regarding the percentage of Marine Le Pen, but also the third place of the leftist Jacques-Luc Melanson proves convincingly that a a party with a populist discourse and content can even occupy the country of entrenched ideological identities.
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