The political barometer in Ankara is moving low and sending negative messages to Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the Justice and Development Party. Recent polls in Turkey show that the Kemalist front is gaining ground against the Islamist and far-right alliances.
Erdogan's bet on 2023 is increasingly in danger of being lost, as his choices are being questioned. Cumhuriyet (source of GTP) published the results of a poll (by MAK) conducted throughout Turkey. According to the poll, the percentages that each party would receive are:
-J Justice and Development Party (AKP): 30%
-Republican People's Party (CHP): 22%
-Party of the People's Party (HDP): 8.5%
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-Party of Nationalist Action (MHP): 7.5%
-Good Party (İYİ Parti): 13.8%
– Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA): 2.6%
– Party of the Future (Gelecek Partisi): 2%
Commenting on the poll findings, the president of the polling company MAK notes that there is a decrease of 5% in the percentages of the ruling AKP party compared to 5 years ago, when it had secured 35%.
A poll was also conducted on behalf of the T24 website by the company AREA, whose findings gave the following percentages:
– AKP: 34.7%
– CHP: 27.7%
– İYİ Party: 12.7%
– MHP: 8.8%
– HDP: 8.7%
Answering the question “What would be your attitude towards Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the next presidential election?”, 31.3% answered that they would vote for Turkish President Erdogan again, 18.6% answered that they do not know 50, 1% answered that they would not vote for him.
In terms of Alliances, the Democratic Alliance (Cumhur İttifakı) concluded between the AKP (Justice and Development Party) and the Nationalist Party (MHP) secures 43.5% and the National Alliance (Millet İttifakı) concluded between the Republican People's Party and the Good Party (CHP-İYİ Parti) secures 40.4%. The HDP together with the other parties secure a total of 16.1%.
In addition, the president of the polling company AREA, making an analysis of the results of the survey, notes the following: “The Good Party (İYİ Parti) with a percentage of 12.7% is ranked third party in the country and the percentages of the CHP, especially after the strong criticisms of Kemal Kilistdaroglu towards the Government, they record an increase (27.7%) “.
It is clear from the polls that the Turks have begun to lose confidence in Erdogan and do not trust him. And this is connected with the state of the economy, the once strong paper of the Turkish President. Regarding the government's economic policy, 22.4% consider it a success, 71.9% a failure and 5.7% have no opinion. Also, 57.5% attribute the bad course of the economy in the country to the wrong policy of the government, 29.9% attribute it to the “Foreign Forces”, 2.8% to other reasons and 9.9% have not point of view.
Inflation is rising
Nineteen years after coming to power, the AKP, the stronghold of the economy, is boomeranging for Erdogan. According to the latest data released recently, inflation in Turkey rose to 19.89% in October.
According to Hurriyet (source of GTP), the Statistics Department of Turkey announced that the annual inflation in the country increased by 0.31 percentage points from 19.58% in the previous month, reaching 19.89% in October 2021 and by 8.55 percentage points compared to October 2020.
Last month, the largest annual increase was recorded in food and non-alcoholic beverages (27.41%), restaurants and cafes (25.53%) and furniture and household equipment (23.03%).
On a monthly basis, the consumer price index for October increased by 2.39%.