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Right now we're in overtime – Turkish seismologist warns of earthquake of up to 7.6 Richter in Istanbul

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Αυτor τη στιγμ or παΙζουμε στην παρΕταση – ΤοΙρκο&sigmaf ; σεισμολoγος προειδοποιεΙ για σεισμo eως και 7.6 Ρiχτερ στην Κωνσ ταντινοyπολη

A big earthquake happens every 6 to 10 years, says Naci Gyorur and emphasizes that “if the wheels of the economy stop in Istanbul, Turkey will collapse on its knees”

A seismologist in Turkey rang the “bell” for a very strong earthquake that will hit Istanbul. Geologist and seismologist Professor Naci Gyorur said that an earthquake-proof city should be built and that the magnitude of the earthquake expected in the city could be between 7.2 and 7.6 on the Richter scale. “An earthquake is expected to happen every 6 years to 10 years, we are currently playing overtime”.

Specifically, speaking to TGRT Haber, the professor stated that “In 1766, the faults ruptured 3 months apart, so Istanbul was faced with two earthquakes of 7 and above 7 with a difference of 3 months. This is a very dangerous issue. If both faults rupture, there is a possibility of magnitudes of 7.5 and 7.6. To address this risk, earthquakes and the events that can be caused by earthquakes, how Istanbul will react, where it will be helpless and how the maximum losses will occur, have been studied for a long time in the researches carried out since 1999 .

Personally, under my presidency, eight international ships, including Turkish ones, are working in the entire Marmara region. We conducted these studies. We know which parts of Istanbul will be vulnerable, what our weaknesses are and what areas they are. I hope that the Mayor of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality will do what is necessary to prepare the city for an earthquake. Among these requirements are the details of the city. The city does not prepare for an earthquake by accident.

When it comes to preparing Istanbul for an earthquake, as a significant part of today's politicians think, they immediately think of the building stock. There are also reasons for the building stock. Construction, beautiful buildings are being built. The public is satisfied, the contractor is satisfied, the mayor is satisfied. Of course it's good, renewing the city's building stock is also good for earthquakes. Reduces damage. But it is not possible to prepare Istanbul for an earthquake with a simple building stock. If you prepare all the elements of the city, the public, the infrastructure, the building stock, the ecosystem and the environment and the economy for an earthquake at the same time in an integrated way, you will have prepared the city for an earthquake.”

“There is no agreement between Istanbul and the central government”

Stressing that politics should be put aside and earthquake studies done, Gyorur said: “There is no harmonious work between the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality and of the central government.

In the whole world, a great city like Constantinople can be prepared by two forces working together. Politics, different parties, us or you should no longer be considered here. The safety of our people's lives is important. After all, millions of people live here. IBB alone cannot make Istanbul earthquake-proof.

The government cannot do it without the municipality. Therefore, I wish that politics in these matters will be put aside and that there will be a unity of forces. There is no collaboration between IBM and the central government. It is a fact that mayors take their jobs seriously. Their reasons are also obvious. Imamoglu keeps saying that Istanbul's biggest problem is the earthquake. Likewise, Murat Kurum says the same. He tries to convince the audience. If what they say is done, Istanbul will gain a lot in terms of earthquake.”

“We must immediately turn to earthquake-proof cities”

Referring to the need to move towards earthquake-proof cities, Gyorur said: “Japan recently had a 7.6-magnitude earthquake and 120 people lost their lives due to luck. We cannot give 20 thousand, 50 thousand dead in every earthquake. This is a situation that the world recognizes and does not suit us. I don't understand what politicians call a “issue of survival”. The real issue of survival is the earthquake. How will we survive this century? We must immediately turn to earthquake-proof cities. We have everything to do. I want a political will that will act above politics. With the passing of the law, even the ministry will be above politics. We can make the country earthquake-proof in 10-15 years. I am more afraid of the Marmara region. The reason is that the region of Marmaras provides approximately 60% of the Gross National Product. If the wheels of the economy in this region stop like in the southeast region, Turkey will collapse on its knees. Leave Turkey's economic independence, we will even be able to discuss political independence,” he said.

“There is a 47% chance of an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher in Marmaras”

Seismologist Gyorur said that Istanbul plays the… extensions and added: “An earthquake is expected to occur in 6 years plus or minus 10 years. We play overtime. There's no way we're going to wait too long. The probability of an earthquake of magnitude 7 or greater in Marmaras is 47%. We need to talk about what to do before and after the earthquake. The job is not just “yacht trap''.

We have to go beyond that. Citizens should first measure the place where they live to see if it is earthquake resistant. They will know who to contact. The municipalities and the ministry will provide this service. Citizens and the state must join hands and overcome this problem. The most important element of earthquake preparedness is the public. If a people does not acquire seismic awareness, seismic culture and seismic suitability, the city will not be prepared for an earthquake.

When the mayors turn their backs, the people build 10 illegal buildings. 15 illegal balconies. It builds 3 floors. He leaves the sprouts, thinking that tomorrow my daughter will get married and I will build her a house. The election passes and the fourth floor rises. They don't do it out of malice. They don't know, they don't understand. They don't think the damage will come from there. If an earthquake occurred in Istanbul, there would be more loss of life and property than the entire 11 provinces. There can be more than 50 thousand casualties in an earthquake in Istanbul.

Those who have technologically advanced societies consider those who have more deaths in these earthquakes to be backward. They feel that there is definitely something wrong with this society. They may be right to some extent.

We have to protect our own people, our own children. If you build a city with earthquake awareness, with culture and earthquake resistance with all its components, that city will grow and grow in the future. These faults have been producing earthquakes for 13 million years and will continue to produce earthquakes for millions of years. This is not an event that can be said to be over.”



Source: 24h.com.cy

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