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What 2012 tells us about 2022

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What 2012 tells us about 2022

A president who does not claim re-election, problems that were not solved in time and knock on our door, but also a latent confidence that Cyprus can cope even where the biggest states are bent. It is good to remember what he taught us in 2012 and to think of ways to avoid the same childhood mistakes, which can lead us to doom. The conditions are not the same, but some things seem alarming. That is why, before we reach 2022, it is good to go back ten years, to remember some important ones, lest we save ourselves from tragic adventures.

First of all, now as then, the President of the Republic announced that he will not claim re-election. Then, we entered uncharted waters, with Dimitris Christofias being the first President to leave at the end of his term, something that eventually led the country to anarchy. The damage of 2013 would have been avoided or mitigated if 2012 was not an election year and at the same time, the last year of Mr. Christofias's rule, even if the popularity of his government had been irreparably shaken by the tragic accident in Marie. Counting the days for officials to leave and officials looking for the next station was a recipe for total failure. I do not know if the claim with the presidency of the country by the president of DISY keeps the situation of disintegration that can be created, but the danger is there.

At the same time, the opposition may not be as strong as it was then against Dimitris Christofias, but even in this situation, it voted against the state budget and sent the message that in the pre-election period, everything is allowed. The Christofias government did not suffer either. The issue of passports has already rocked the political system and brought the President to give explanations to examination committees. If to this is added a negative development from the management of the pandemic, the opposition can easily be tempted to do what Dimitris Christofias described at the time as the “governing Parliament”. As a result of this conflict, the country was then unable to take timely measures that would mitigate the consequences of the upcoming 2013 financial crisis. Opportunities and milestones were lost, with the result that the then next President, Nikos Anastasiadis, received “burned land”.

A “scorched earth”, which came from the fact that we overestimated our ability to escape the crisis, that we based all our hopes on help from the EU and other strategic partners and that we did not calculate the size of our exposure in other countries , like Greece, which when they sank took us to the bottom with them. Today's data, have the conditions to develop into even more difficult situations from 2013 and this is something I did not expect to happen. The pandemic, inflation and shortages recorded by the global economy may prove to be worse than the financial crisis of the last decade. Not talking about them does not mean that they will overtake us. As it is not okay to make reforms just for the sake of doing them, or to fail to provide valuable state aid. We must remember the suffering with the Greek bonds of 2012 – this year to be from Turkey, as a result of the destabilization that we observe happening in the country's economy. If the banks were exposed then, in Turkey the danger is that the state will be “cut” with division. It is good to observe what is happening in Ankara and not to have the illusion that the problems are not “exported” or that other “backs” will be put to save us from the unfavorable situation we found ourselves and through our own fault. These are from 2012, so that not only is the New Year good, but also that the whole year goes well.

Source: politis.com.cy

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